Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.392830 0.452959 0.518244 0.594265 0.680225 0.774277 0.884836
2025-10-19 0.296786 0.380690 0.480604 0.607737 0.764525 0.950828 1.188179
2025-10-26 0.239451 0.332715 0.451666 0.613164 0.825162 1.092232 1.452139
2025-11-02 0.198415 0.294885 0.425181 0.611797 0.869541 1.209874 1.689493
2025-11-09 0.165813 0.261757 0.398123 0.602853 0.898424 1.304869 1.900008
2025-11-16 0.140541 0.234515 0.374451 0.593686 0.923020 1.392526 2.103604
2025-11-23 0.117835 0.207348 0.346683 0.573928 0.928207 1.450458 2.266408
2025-11-30 0.110239 0.202876 0.352538 0.604939 1.010699 1.625495 2.610730
2025-12-07 0.094669 0.182740 0.330742 0.589285 1.018451 1.687503 2.788134
2025-12-14 0.081342 0.164486 0.309642 0.571940 1.020862 1.739882 2.952305
2025-12-21 0.070906 0.149917 0.292968 0.559876 1.030019 1.802292 3.134788
2025-12-28 0.065560 0.144189 0.291182 0.573243 1.082661 1.937933 3.443131
2026-01-04 0.062426 0.142579 0.297062 0.601470 1.164352 2.128940 3.858174
2026-01-11 0.057818 0.137356 0.295585 0.616034 1.223077 2.285328 4.225777
2026-01-18 0.052736 0.130362 0.289783 0.621604 1.265474 2.415718 4.556172
2026-01-25 0.047566 0.122376 0.280985 0.620227 1.294326 2.523354 4.852323
2026-02-01 0.042315 0.113393 0.269029 0.611172 1.307422 2.602890 5.102460
2026-02-08 0.037684 0.105135 0.257598 0.601890 1.318953 2.679676 5.351300
2026-02-15 0.032803 0.095469 0.241893 0.581885 1.307139 2.711520 5.518453
2026-02-22 0.032062 0.096206 0.249699 0.613283 1.402188 2.951892 6.088567
2026-03-01 0.028278 0.088355 0.236709 0.597434 1.397752 2.999498 6.294958
2026-03-08 0.024839 0.080847 0.223594 0.579872 1.388011 3.035569 6.480395
2026-03-15 0.022089 0.074796 0.213275 0.567657 1.388609 3.091872 6.707874